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Author: Shakeel Akhtar
Shakeel Akhtar is a geopolitical analyst and writer based in Oslo, Norway. His work focuses on global power shifts, strategic behavior of states, and their implications for regional security, with particular emphasis on Pakistan’s defence posture and strategic maturity.
(A Reminder of Noah’s Wisdom) A wise strategist once observed that a good leader is not warlike; a good fighter is not impetuous; and the finest victory over an enemy is achieved without rushing to attack. True leadership lies not in the impulse to strike, but in the patience to prevent conflict before it becomes inevitable. Even in the face of provocation or atrocity, a far-sighted leader understands that retaliation often invites another cycle of violence. History repeatedly shows that an immediate response may satisfy emotion, yet it frequently triggers a counter-attack that deepens the crisis rather than resolving it.…
Operational Environment: Escalation in Motion The confrontation between Iran and Israel has entered a sustained operational phase. Strike tempo, force posture adjustments, and alliance signaling indicate preparation for continuation rather than a brief exchange. Defense establishments across multiple regions are calculating force sustainability, escalation thresholds, and deterrence credibility in real time. Israel operates with integrated air dominance, advanced missile defense architecture, and deep intelligence fusion supported by the United States. In prolonged high-intensity engagement, that alignment carries structural advantage. Iran retains missile depth and proven drone capability. It has demonstrated reach and resilience. Extended engagement, however, compresses logistics, strains reserves,…
Pakistan is a nuclear power. This status carries structured responsibility, credible deterrence, and calibrated escalation control. Strategic stability rests on preparedness, institutional cohesion, and command discipline. National security is neither rhetorical nor reactive. It is organized, measured, and sustained. The current regional climate demands clarity of command and disciplined execution. Cross-border disruptions, hybrid tactics, and strategic signaling require responses grounded in professionalism rather than impulse. Emotional reaction weakens coherence. Structured pragmatism strengthens it. Mission-oriented conduct defines operational posture. Along sensitive frontiers, responses are shaped by precision, proportionality, and clearly defined objectives. Border integrity remains non-negotiable. Civilian protection remains integrated into…
Pakistan’s long-contested western frontier has entered a decisive and commanding phase. What began for years as border frictions with non-state militancy and sporadic cross-border fire has escalated into sustained engagement -including intelligence-led strikes against militant infrastructure in Afghan territory. This escalation exposes a strategic truth: the conflict is no longer merely an insurgency problem, nor a bilateral dispute dependent on Afghan compliance. It has evolved into a regional security challenge, shaped by proxy actors, external alignments, and persistent attempts by hostile states to manipulate instability. Any credible policy today must begin with clear-eyed enforcement and unambiguous authority, independent of the…
The time has come for Pakistan to draw a firm line between patience and tolerance. For years, the western border was managed with restraint, selective enforcement, and dialogue. This approach was shaped by geography, regional instability, and the hope that accommodation would gradually reduce friction. Instead, it created operational space for armed actors to regroup, reorganize, and use the border as a staging ground for attacks inside Pakistan. That phase has ended. Authority Requires Action Power does not fail because it is challenged; it fails when it is assumed without enforcement. Along the western frontier, armed groups once operated through…
I write this column with deliberate clarity. For centuries, humanity has celebrated its ascent. We speak of Enlightenment, democracy, sovereignty, constitutionalism, human rights, international law. We teach that Plato designed justice, that John Locke protected liberty, that Jean-Jacques Rousseau empowered the citizen, that Immanuel Kant envisioned perpetual peace. Europe institutionalized these ideas. The modern state was engineered. The citizen was codified. Power was regulated. Progress became our collective narrative. Beneath this architecture lies an older current. In Leviathan, Thomas Hobbes described a condition where life descends into rivalry, fear, and competition when authority dissolves. European civilization responded by constructing the…
No religion teaches terrorism. Not the Qur’an. Not the Bible. Not the sacred traditions of any major faith. Yet violence is committed in their names. The contradiction does not lie in revelation. It lies in interpretation – and in who controls it. Terrorism is not born in scripture. It is manufactured through selective reading, political manipulation, grievance amplification, and identity engineering. A verse detached from context becomes a slogan. A slogan repeated becomes ideology. An ideology weaponized becomes extremism. The central question is not whether religion is peaceful. The central question is Who interprets religion in our time? Under what…
Not a cosmetic adjustment, not another temporary political understanding, but a structural recalibration of how politics, protest, policy, and national stability interact. Can we begin from a more honest premise? The state is only part of the solution. The responsibility extends far beyond one institution. Political actors, media platforms, economic stakeholders, civil society, and citizens all shape the climate in which stability either survives or erodes. A functioning country is not sustained by authority alone; it is sustained by collective discipline. Stability is not suppression. It is infrastructure. Across much of the modern world, organized agitation as a recurring pressure…
In the grand halls of the Munich Security Conference, the world’s most powerful voices gathered once again. But this year, the atmosphere was different – less ceremonial, more consequential. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz spoke of responsibility – not merely influence. French President Emmanuel Macron emphasized strategic autonomy – not isolation. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio reaffirmed transatlantic unity within a changing global order. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte stressed deterrence and collective defense in an increasingly unstable world. Each message carried a common undertone: Power must be exercised responsibly. Institutions must endure. Alliances must adapt – but not fracture.…
There were moments in recent years when it seemed that values had run out of the road. At the very time when moral confidence appeared to falter in influential capitals, other nations were paying for stability in blood. In cities and borderlands where extremism sought to fracture order, Pakistan continued to absorb the cost of resistance – soldiers, officers, and civilians giving their lives so that chaos would not spread beyond their frontiers. While some questioned whether principles still mattered, others were defending them in the most painful way possible. Principles once considered non-negotiable began to feel conditional. Human rights…